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Archive for May, 2008

SA bourse targets top African firms

30 May

Johannesburg Stock Exchange

The Johannesburg Stock Exchange (JSE) has unveiled an ambitious plan to list top performing African companies on a common platform to be known as the African Board.

The proposed board will consist of major African blue-chip companies with market capitalisation between $33 million (Sh2 billion) and $21.9 billion (Sh1.4 trillion).

The JSE plans to start off the ambitious project with a dual listing of companies at home and the bourse’s main board before migrating willing companies to the African Board.

JSE has identified 44 companies in Kenya, Nigeria, Ghana, Zambia, Morocco and Zimbabwe.

“The dual listing of stocks on home countries and on the JSE/Africa Board would improve liquidity and increase exposure,” said Ms Maureen Dlamini (Executive Head of Africa).

The interest in African stock markets stems from the fact that African economies have recorded four consecutive years of growth of five per cent and is experiencing a commodity boom fuelled by demand by some of the emerging economies like China, India, Brazil, Russia and Middle East.

Last year, return in US$ percentage was highest in Mauritius (110 per cent) followed by Nigeria (91.3 per cent), Morocco (47.2 per cent), Egypt (56.4 per cent), Botswana 34.1 (per cent), Tunisia (28.4 per cent), Ghana (26.9 per cent) and Kenya (5.5 per cent).

These would culminate in the creation of Africa Board Index for those on the board and the Pan-Africa Index for all listed companies in Africa.

It was also noted that JSE is likely to experience setbacks largely because most stock exchanges across Africa would like to remain independent.

JSE will focus on quality African stocks to be listed on an African exchange. The stocks targeted are required to have solid profit histories, in good business models and countries with sound macro economic policies.

 
 

Safaricom sets record for Kenya Blue Chips

29 May

SafaricomSafaricom recently reported record profits and announced plans to boost coverage in the rural areas as a strategy of growing its customer base in the face of mounting competition.

EBITDA of KSh28.1 billion ($461million) representing a growth of 15 per cent. Safaricom for the third year running has emerged as the most profitable company in Kenya and among the best in sub-Saharan Africa.

Net profit, of Sh13.8 billion ($226 million) reflecting a 15.3 per cent increase. The operating profit however grew at a modest rate of 3.8 per cent to Sh18.5 billion ($303 million). Observers say that this was due the extent to which the business was unable to reign in costs as its expansion plan gathers pace.

Revenue rose to Sh61.3 billion from Sh47.4 billion a year earlier, representing a 29.3 per cent growth.

The performance, driven by an increase in company’s subscriber base from 6.1 million in 2006 to 10.2 million in 2007, comes as competition intensifies in the cellular phone market with the entry of new players.

Econet Wireless, which is partly owned by India’s Essar, is set to rollout its mobile services in July, while Telkom Kenya, owned 51 per cent by France Telecom, is planning a rollout in September.

To maintain its profit momentum in the face of the competition, Safaricom is planning to widen its footprint in the under-served rural areas to boost its national coverage. The firm currently has a national coverage of about 60 per cent range compared to 84 per cent for its main rival Celtel Kenya.

“Having a national footprint is key to beating competition,” said Michael Joseph, the company’s CEO. “You don’t win this market by simply lowering tariffs and rolling out in a few urban centers.”

Kenya’s mobile phone penetration stands at 34 per cent of the population and is expected to increase to 60 per cent in the next four years as more rural dwellers sign up.

Besides boosting its coverage in the rural zones, Safaricom is counting on lower tariff rates and its new low airtime denomination of Sh20 to penetrate the price sensitive rural consumers.

The firm said it is targeting about two million new subscribers by the end of the year, on the back of renewed investment in infrastructure and a focus on the rural market.

The CEO Mr Joseph said that the new entrants would find it hard to eat into Safaricom’s market share, which increased to 84 per cent from 73 per cent in the past 12 months. His optimism is hinged on the fact that it would take the competition time to build a network the size of Safaricom.

“Our coverage and huge subscriber base will give us the much needed competitive edge,” said Joseph.

But competition is not about discouraged by Safaricom’s might.
Econet Wireless made its intention clear, with the announcement that it has placed Sh9.3 billion order for GSM network followed by the onset of the recruitment drive for key staff.

Telkom Kenya has also placed its order and is set to unveil its network in September targeting major urban centers before spreading to the rest of the countryside, a strategy that Econet is also keen to employ.

This is a clear signal that the twin entrants are targeting the urban clientele that has over the past eight years driven Safaricom’s profits.

And through its newly launched money transfer service, Mpesa, the firm hopes to fence in its subscribers and deny other operators getting access to its subscribers who are likely to get reluctant to switch networks easily.

Safaricom is one that company’s that is trailblazing to show the potential in emerging African markets.

 
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IMF role changes as nations forego loans

29 May

Ghana’s economy turned as hot as the local pepper soup earlier in the decade, with soaring global demand for the nation’s riches — gold, cocoa and bauxite — sparking a rush to modernise Ghana’s decaying roads, rails and power grid.

But when the government hatched a plan last year to rebuild the national infrastructure by selling $750 million worth of bonds, its minders at the International Monetary Fund balked.

As in so many other developing countries, the IMF had for years served as banker, bean counter and financial consultant to Ghana, its authority stemming in part from the $1.3 billion over 20 years it lent the once financially troubled country.

In dire need of that cash, Ghanian officials had cooperated with the fund’s requests, agreeing to slash gasoline subsidies, trim spending and open markets to cheaper foreign imports.

But this time, there was a big difference. Ghana had joined a long list of developing countries in Africa and beyond enjoying record periods of growth, with the robust economy leaving it no longer in need of more IMF cash.

The government rejected the fund’s calls for a far smaller bond sale. Officials say the IMF grudgingly agreed, dispatching a liaison to help it carry out the complicated offering.

That decision underscores the changing role of the IMF as developing economies have roared to life in recent years, with the fund increasingly becoming more adviser than lender.In 2003, fund lending reached an all time high of $116.9 billion.

But as developing nations have capitalised on surging commodity prices and shared in the economic coming of age in China and India, more countries are forgoing IMF loans and the strict demands that come with them.

The IMF, founded in 1944 to foster the reconstruction of the global economy in the wake of World War II, is entering its largest period of upheaval since the fall of the Berlin Wall.

Over the next year, the Washington institution will slash its 2,900-person workforce by 13 per cent through a combination of buyouts and some layoffs, reflecting a loan portfolio shrinking so fast that the IMF is seeking to sell off $6 billion in gold reserves to create a new long-term source of income.

Yet the IMF was never intended to serve as a global bank for developing nations. That role is reserved more for the World Bank, the fund’s sister organisation, which focuses on longer-term development projects.

Instead, the IMF has been an overseer of structural adjustment and a temporary lender to nations in financial crises, of which there have been fewer in recent years.

In Africa — the region still most heavily dependent on the IMF — a picture is emerging in some of the stronger economies of what the future of the fund may look like.

As robust economies in Uganda, Tanzania and Nigeria have moved away from reliance on IMF cash, they have adopted new “policy support instruments” — or official advisory programmes in which the fund’s staff provide intensive guidance on economic policy.

Countries such as Kenya and Ghana have embraced a less formal structure, welcoming the IMF in the role as chief consultant on major fiscal and financial decisions.

“We must speed up the progress made in focusing more on helping low-income countries secure and maintain macroeconomic stability and less on structural issues outside of the fund’s core mandate,” Dominique Strauss-Kahn, who took over as IMF president last year, said at the fund’s annual meeting last month.

Top fund officials describe a “new IMF” that will be less focused on forcing nations to adopt tough cost-cutting measures and more on ensuring that they don’t make mistakes that could generate the kind of financial crises that washed over Asia in the late 1990s and South America in the early 2000s.

-LA times washington post IMF officials say it speaks at least in part to the fund’s success at teaching countries like Ghana good fiscal and economic policies, as well as the wisdom of an internationally backed effort earlier this decade to forgive massive amounts of African debt.

But critics say it also heralds the fund’s diminishing importance in a world where developing nations have more lending options than ever before. That is particularly true as the Chinese and the Indians lavish Africa and other regions with billions of dollars in low- or no-interest loans, often in exchange for access to oil and minerals but carrying no demands for fiscal restraint or free-market reforms.

Source: BD Africa

http://www.bdafrica.com/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=7893&Itemid=5848

 
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27 May

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